With the general election around the corner, big and small political parties in Uttar Pradesh have upped the game. ET Magazine takes a look at the shifting sands in the state:
Of Blessings & Praise Samajwadi Party (SP) patriarch Mulayam Singh Yadav praising PM Narendra Modi in Parliament surprised many. A flummoxed party worker recently asked Netaji, as Mulayam is addressed, the rationale behind the comment, during a meeting at the party headquarters in Lucknow. But security personnel quickly hushed the man. At another event, Akhilesh Yadav’s reply to his father’s comment was: “He had bestowed such blessings upon Manmohan Singh as well. Was he (Singh) successful in getting reelected as PM? Moreover, I have his blessings, too.”
Netaji had created a peculiar situation in December 2018, too, at a rally organised by younger brother Shivpal Yadav’s party in Lucknow. He asked the audience to support SP, instead of Shivpal’s Pragatisheel Samajwadi Party (Lohiya), until he was gently reminded that he was not at a SP function. These days, Netaji spends a lot of time at the SP headquarters asking visitors to vote for Akhilesh. The party seems to be confident after the tie-up with Mayawati-led Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). “We will limit the BJP to 10 seats,” SP leader and MLC Rajendra Chaudhary told ET Magazine.
Vote-Shift Trouble Experts say while BSP voters will vote for whoever Mayawati asks them to, the Yadavs may not follow such a direction from the SP. Many SP supporters are apparently unhappy with the seat-sharing formula between the parties. Their rationale: of the 37 seats the party will contest, according to the agreement, six belong to SCs, 7 to Muslims and 5-7 will go to Mulayam’s family members. This leaves barely a dozen seats for OBCs — the SP is said to be the party of OBCs. The Gorakhpur and Phulpur by-elections proved the BSP can transfer its votes to SP. Can SP do the same?
Uncle vs Nephew It has been six months since Shivpal launched his Pragatisheel Samajwadi Party (Lohia). Akhilesh has called him BJP’s B team, though the national party has kept a distance from Shivpal, who is in touch with the Congress. All eyes are on a brewing familial fight after Shivpal decided to contest elections from Firozabad, held by nephew Akshay — son of Shivpal’s estranged brother Ram Gopal, who is with SP. Shivpal’s party will fight all 80 Lok Sabha seats, except Mainpuri, which is held by his elder brother Mulayam.
Seats & Berth
(Anupriya Patel of Apna Dal)
BJP’s ally in UP Anupriya Patel of Apna Dal (AD) seems to have toned down her demand for more Lok Sabha seats. She is learnt to have met Priyanka Gandhi two weeks ago. But many AD leaders say the party is relevant as long as it is with the BJP, and that the national party may not give it more seats than it did in 2014. BJP leaders, for their part, claim all differences with Patel’s party have been sorted out. AD is also said to be demanding a cabinet berth in the Yogi Adityanath government for party MLC and Anupriya’s husband Ashish Singh Patel.
Faction Party The SP is contemplating fielding a strong Kurmi candidate against Anupriya Patel in Mirzapur. It is learnt that her estranged sister Pallavi is in touch with SP. If talks with Pallavi do not materialise, SP might field state president Naresh Uttam to counter Patel. Meanwhile, AD has birthed another faction. If the groups led by Patel and mother Krishna weren’t enough, Pratapgarh MP Harivansh Singh has broken away to form Akhil Bhartiya Apna Dal. AD, which was formed in 1996 by the late Sonelal Patel to unite Kurmi votes, now stands divided.
Strike & Alliance The Pulwama blast and Balakot air strike seem to have put Priyanka Gandhi out of the spotlight. She was, after all, seen as the person who can revive Congress’ fortunes. An alliance with Mahan Dal, which has not seen any electoral success in the state, is not going to help the party. In 2014, Mahan Dal lost all the three seats it was allotted, while the Congress retained its two pocket boroughs. How the alliance will pan out is anybody’s guess. Meanwhile, another gatbandhan of sorts happened two months ago when UP Congress President Raj Babbar’s son Prateik got married to Sanya, daughter of BSP leader Pavan Sagar.
A Lie for a Lie SP president Akhilesh Yadav took everyone by surprise when at a joint press conference with ally RLD, he said Congress was very much a part of the alliance with the BSP and RLD. When a confidant later asked him the rationale for such a statement, he reportedly said, “When they can lie in public, we too can do so.” A Congress leader had recently said the party refused to become part of the gatbandhan as they were not getting the expected number of seats. To be sure, gatbandhan has left Rae Bareli and Amethi seats for the Congress. Attacking Yadav, Congress’ Jyotiraditya Scindia said, “Congress is even ready to leave 2-3 seats for them in UP...but we will fight elections on our own.”
Boot vs Booth Newspapers are filled with full page ads listing the achievements of the Narendra Modi government, with the slogan “Namumkin ab mumkin hai (impossible is now possible)”. The opposition is replying with video clips of BJP MP from Sant Kabir Nagar Sharad Tripathi and Mehdawal MLA Rakesh Baghel hitting each other with footwear. The opposition has claimed such events were “mumkin” only within the BJP. “It is time they changed their slogan from mera booth, sabse mazboot (my booth, the strongest booth) to mera boot, sabse mazboot (my boot is the strongest),” said an SP leader.
Get Unlimited Access to The Economic Times
