Some positive news: Case fatality rate of dist drops

Ludhiana: Even as the number of Covid-19 cases is witnessing a rise, the district’s case fatality rate (CFR) has dropped to below 4%. The case fatality rate is the proportion of deaths from a disease compared with the total number of people diagnosed with it for a particular period.
As per the recent state media bulletins, the CFR for Ludhiana has been 3.9% for the past two days (December 2 and 3), which is 0.1% lower as compared with the rate in seven days before that.The data suggests that the CFR had reached the highest value of 4.3% on September 10 and remained the same till September 15 before witnessing a drop.
An analysis of the data since August 1 shows that on the date, the rate in Ludhiana district was 3%, which increased to 3.5% till August 16 and further to 3.8% till August 31. The rate on September 1 was 3.9% and it reached 4% the next day before rising to 4.3% on September 10 and then dropping to 4.1% by September 18. It remained the same till October 3. The CFR then increased to 4.2% on October 4, remained the same till October 23 and then fell to 4.1% on October 24. After remaining at 4.1% till November 12, it dropped to 4% the next day and remained at the same value till December 1 before dropping to present value.
The state health department’s media bulletin containing data till Thursday evening suggests that Ludhiana was at the sixth spot among the districts of the state in CFR. Ropar had the highest CFR percentage in the state at 5.1%. Tarn Taran and Fatehgarh Sahib were second and third with CFR of 4.8% and 4.6%, respectively. Fazilka had the lowest CFR of 1.7%.
Ludhiana’s CFR of 3.9% is 0.7% more than the percentage for the state.
Civil surgeon Dr Rajesh Bagga said, “CFR has witnessed a decrease as fewer deaths were being reported from the district now. This is mainly because of the fact that now we have facilities in place that were arranged during the first wave.”
Advising caution, he said people should follow the pandemic rules to keep cases in check.