Washington/New York — Few saw the surprise disclosure earlier this week that the American Petroleum Institute (API) is considering endorsing a price on carbon dioxide emissions and thought the fierce fossil fuel lobby was suddenly becoming climate-friendly. Rather, seasoned industry-watchers say it’s the clearest sign yet that fossil-fuel companies see Washington’s shift on climate policy as a real and significant threat.

A carbon price — whether in the form of an emissions trading scheme or a tax on planet-warming pollution — seems antithetical to the fossil-fuel industry’s interests, as it would effectively make their core product more expensive for consumers...

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