2022 Denver Broncos' win total, Super Bowl, conference and division odds

John Holler
Sportsbook Wire

The Denver Broncos haven't made the playoffs in 6 years since winning the Super Bowl in Peyton Manning's last season in 2015 and have had losing records in the last 5 seasons. That could be attributed in some part to their quarterbacks in that span - Trevor Siemian, Case Keenum, Joe Flacco, Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater. Denver learned you don't win titles with pedestrian QBs so the organization made a blockbuster trade to acquire Russell Wilson in hopes of recapturing the success signing Manning had.

Below, we look at the Denver Broncos 2022 NFL futures odds - including win total, division, conference and Super Bowl odds at Tipico Sportsbook - with best bet suggestions among our NFL picks and predictions.

Aside from Wilson, Denver made a big splash signing Cowboys edge rusher Randy Gregory and shored up its offensive front by signing linemen Billy Turner and Tom Compton and blocking TE Eric Tomlinson. They also invested in 49ers DT D.J. Jones to line up alongside Gregory.

Denver didn't have a draft pick until the last pick of the second round, but used 4 of its first 5 picks on defense, taking at least 1 player at all 3 levels of the defense.

Denver Broncos' 2022 schedule

WKDATEOPPONENTTIME
All times ET; *- At London
1

Sept. 12 (M)

at Seattle Seahawks

8:15 p.m.

2

Sept. 18

vs. Houston Texans

4:25 p.m.

3

Sept. 25

vs. San Francisco 49ers

8:20 p.m.

4

Oct. 2

at Las Vegas Raiders

4:25 p.m.

5

Oct. 6 (Th)

vs. Indianapolis Colts

8:15 p.m.

6

Oct. 17 (M)

at Los Angeles Chargers

8:15 p.m.

7

Oct. 23

vs. New York Jets

4:05 p.m.

8

Oct. 30

at Jacksonville Jaguars-*

9:30 a.m.

9

BYE WEEK

10

Nov. 13

at Tennessee Titans

1 p.m.

11

Nov. 20

vs. Las Vegas Raiders

4:05 p.m.

12

Nov. 27

at Carolina Panthers

1 p.m.

13

Dec. 4

at Baltimore Ravens

1 p.m.

14

Dec. 11

vs. Kansas City Chiefs

8:20 p.m.

15

Dec. 18

vs. Arizona Cardinals

4:05 p.m.

16

Dec. 25

at Los Angeles Rams

4:30 p.m.

17

Jan. 1

at Kansas City Chiefs

1 p.m.

18

Jan. 7 or 8

vs. Los Angeles Chargers

TBD

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Denver Broncos' 2022 win total: Best bet

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, May 15 at 10:08 a.m. ET.

Over/Under: 10.5 (O: +130 | U: -170)

I love Wilson and believe he remains one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the league despite having won a chip and coming one awful coaching decision away from winning two. But this number is too high for a franchise that hasn't had the kind of success needed to win 11 games.

Coaches love consistency in preparation. Ask any coach and he wouldn't mind have every game at 1 p.m. Sunday local time to keep the preparation routine the same week after week. Denver got a lot of respect from those making the schedules with 5 prime time games and another in London. There will be no consistency here.

Taking the Under may look like a losing bet at Thanksgiving, but the closing schedule for Denver is as brutal as anyone in the league. The final six games include the Ravens, Chiefs and Rams on the road and Cardinals, Chiefs and Chargers at home. If they split those six games, they can only lose three of their first 11 to hit the Over, which is a tall order for any team.

TAKE UNDER 10.5 WINS (-170).

Denver Broncos' 2022 Super Bowl odds

Odds: +1500 (bet $100 to win $1,500)

Shockingly (to me anyway), only 5 teams have lower Super Bowl odds than the Broncos (the Bills, Buccaneers, Chiefs, Packers and Rams). Two other teams have identical +1500 numbers (the 49ers and Chargers).

Considering that 2 of the 7 teams that join them in the top 8 are in their own division, getting through the AFC West is going to take a lot of doing and the 2 that don't win will have a long trek on the road just to win a playoff game or 2, much less 4. PASS.

Denver Broncos' 2022 playoff odds

Will Broncos make the playoffs: Yes -150 | No +125

Wilson has led his team to the playoffs in 8 of his 10 NFL seasons and last year (7-10) was the first season he had a losing record. Seeing how the Chiefs have had a stranglehold on the division title for 6 years, the Broncos will likely be looking at a wild card berth at best to be in the postseason.

If you use the premise that the division champs from 2021 repeat (Buffalo, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Kansas City), the Broncos will still be in competition with 2021 playoff teams New England, Las Vegas and Pittsburgh and playoff-ready teams like the Chargers, Colts, Dolphins, Browns and Ravens for 3 spots. Ten wins may get them there, but that is an awful lot of competition to sift through, especially given Denver's closing schedule. I picked the Broncos to finish 3rd in the AFC West, which makes the postseason pretty uncertain.

The one nuance that should be noted is that 2 of their tougher road games - at the Chargers and Titans - both come when the Broncos will have more rest and time to prepare. The Broncos face the Chargers following a Thursday night game and travel to Nashville after their bye week.

BET THE BRONCOS DON'T MAKE THE PLAYOFFS (+125).

Odds to win AFC West Division

  • Denver Broncos +260 (bet $100 to win $260 )
  • Kansas City Chiefs +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Las Vegas Raiders +600 (bet $100 to win $600)
  • Los Angeles Chargers +240 (bet $100 to win $100)

As you can see by these numbers, the Broncos are projected to finish third in their division and the only team behind them (Las Vegas) made the playoffs last season. While Wilson will make a difference, I believe both the Chiefs and Chargers are in a better position to win the division that the Broncos

If the return rate was 3:1 or better, I would be more inclined to buy into the Wilson magic anticipation. But the return at +260 isn't enough for the mountain they have climb to get there. PASS.

Odds to win AFC

Odds: +750 (bet $100 to win $750)

Very similar to the winning the division bet, advancing to the Super Bowl is a big ask for what I view as a wild-card team at best. I'm sure there will be enough bettors who will take these odds, believing that Wilson can turn around a franchise that last made the playoffs with a quarterback who has already been inducted into the Hall of Fame. But those people will likely be throwing their money away in a stacked conference that has a lot of teams that have made deep playoff runs in the recent past. PASS.

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